8th October 2023 - Counting the PPL Chicks before it hatches
Curious: when do I estimate I can get my PPL, minding for pre-requisited exams and weather.
As of this day (October 2023) I have been under instruction for approximately 14 hours so far, and would still have the following to come. To note, the hours required and lessons needed are completely based on my guesswork and likely to be far from the actual:
Circuit, probably 2 hours more to be confident ← 2 lessons
Solo Circuit, probably 1 hr ← 1 lesson
Advanced Turning, Forced Landings, Precautionary landings, ~ 4 hrs ← 4 lesson
Navigations (4 units) & various practicing of previous modules ~ 6 + 3 ~~ 10 hrs ← 10 lesson
Cross Country Solo (assume twice) = 10 hrs ← 2 lessons
15 hr buffer (typical PPL needs 55 hrs) ← 10 lesson
To note this is the CAA requirements
Hours - Total (min) 45 (currently 14.5hrs in) Hours - Dual instruction (min) 25 Hours - supervised Solo (min) 10, of which min 5 hrs of Cross Country (270km + 2 full landings other aerodomes)
Estimated Total lessons still to go = 29 lessons, 42 hours
equate to 29 lessons → 29 weeks (1 lesson a week)
assuming 30% bad weather or travel conflict penalty
29 x 1.3 ~ 40, i.e. 40 weeks to complete
i.e. 40 weeks from 7/10/2023 is 13th July 2024. So my estimate is I might obtain my PPL on Saturday 13th July 2024.
“So my estimate is I obtain my PPL on Saturday 13th July 2024.”
Radio transmission practical: will likely need one month to prepare, and if i do this after 9th december 2023, this will mean the target is to complete this by Mid-Jan 2024. This isn’t a constraining factor with my CFI’s advising that its best to perform this as close to final exam date as possible.
summarising the milestones so far and including aforementioned forecast
19/5/2023 → First practical lesson ✅
19/6/2023 → passed first theorectical exam: air law
11/7/2023 → passed Ops Proc
6/8/2023 → passed Meteorology
13/8/2023 → first circuit training✅
3/9/2023 → first visit and TOL, conington aerodrome ✅
24/9/2023 → passed Navigation ✅
1/10/2023 → Best landing during Circuit Training ✅
28/10/2023 → est for passing both AC gen Knowledge & Principle of flight exam
4/11/2023 → est First Solo
9/12/2023 → forecast Passed remaining theorectical exams
21/1/2024 → forecast passed practical radio exam
04/05/2024 → with fair weather, no new distractions- forecast completion of PPL course
13/07/2024 → assumed 30% of classes cancelled, forecast completion of PPL training
